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Evidence design

Design the evidence before the result.

When an intervention does not produce the evidence needed for credible evaluation, Causalytics can help design the capture, governance, and operating record around it. The objective is not another system of record. It is a measurable intervention with evidence that can support or withhold a causal and ROI claim.

System structure

THE FOUNDRY

Development and validation

Assessment, strategy, policy, controls, constrained code generation, verification, and deployment turn an expert method into a versioned operational artifact.

THE INSTRUMENT

Operational interface

A case-centered application gathers relevant evidence, presents approved authority when it governs, records human decisions, and creates the operational record through normal use.

CAUSAL SCIENCE

Impact and ROI measurement

The Measurement Contract defines the intended effect and comparison before release, drives instrument telemetry, and permits attributable outcomes and ROI only when its evidence conditions are met.

Intended applications

Operational instruments are intended for bounded workflows with identified owners, defined authority, multiple evidence sources, consequential decisions, and formal recordkeeping requirements.

Illustrative areas include:

  • regulatory and compliance reviews;
  • grant and procurement administration;
  • requirements analysis and policy implementation;
  • internal control testing; and
  • other case-based processes with documented human decisions.

These are reference categories rather than claims about a customer, employer, or production deployment. A specific instrument is defined from the participating organization’s authorized materials and operating context.

The governed foundry

Seven composable planes transform an authorized method into a deployable instrument and a measurable intervention. Each plane has narrow authority and explicit things it may not do.

01 / CAPTURE

Capture the expert method

Adaptive questions and source analysis identify the case, workflow, authoritative language, evidence, decisions, data boundaries, acceptance criteria, and unresolved rulings.

02 / AUTHORIZE

Establish organizational authority

Strategy and policy establish authorization, permitted functions, ownership, and the judgments reserved for people.

03 / CONTROL

Make controls executable

A tailored NIST 800-53 Control Passport converts applicable obligations into implementation requirements, tests, evidence, exceptions, and monitoring duties.

04 / CONSTRUCT

Build inside the contract

The coding agent receives the authorized instrument specification, approved packages, prohibited capabilities, required tests, and deployment conditions. It does not receive an open-ended prompt.

05 / VERIFY

Test behavior and boundaries

Static analysis, dependency controls, functional tests, isolated execution, policy-adaptive semantic checks, and artifact verification assess the candidate independently.

06 / OPERATE

Release the exact artifact

Only the signed artifact that passed every mandatory gate can deploy. Identity, decisions, control evidence, runtime health, and outcomes stay attached.

07 / EVALUATE

Estimate effect and ROI

The Measurement Contract governs the outcome definition, causal diagram, intake fields, rollout, estimators, refusal conditions, cost model, and permitted claim level. Results inform the next authorized version.

Assessment and instrument specification

Questions are composable because expert methods differ. A pack can encode a regulated intake, requirements analysis, readiness assessment, program evaluation, or another consequential workflow.

Its output can include a BRD. The primary artifact is an Instrument Specification:

Authority

Source text, owners, definitions, citations, gates, thresholds, prohibited actions, required rationale, version rules, and unresolved decisions.

Operation

Case identity, actors, workflow states, evidence sources, data minimization, derived measures, human decisions, corrections, and closure conditions.

Assurance

Control profile, acceptance tests, negative tests, audit events, artifact lineage, deployment gates, monitoring, and reassessment triggers.

Impact

Intended outcome, estimand, exposure, comparison strategy, observation window, required covariates, subgroup analysis, cost model, assumptions, and claim threshold.

Two governing artifacts travel with every instrument

CONTROL PASSPORT

Can it operate as intended?

The Control Passport links the tailored NIST SP 800-53 profile to implementation requirements, tests, evidence, exceptions, approvals, and monitoring duties for the exact artifact.

MEASUREMENT CONTRACT

Did it produce the intended effect?

The Measurement Contract pre-registers the intervention, outcome, causal diagram, required fields, rollout, estimators, diagnostics, refusal thresholds, costs, and the level of claim the evidence can support. The analysis cannot silently relax it after seeing results.

See the causal science system

Division of responsibility

The system separates language generation from institutional authority.

Models interpret

After Elasticsearch returns passages within tenant, authority, and version filters, models may extract structured facts, summarize retrieved evidence, answer bounded framework questions with citations, propose a permitted next step, generate candidate code, and apply semantic safety checks.

Deterministic systems enforce

They validate identity, derive scores, enforce state transitions, protect data boundaries, hash events and artifacts, run tests, and determine deployment eligibility.

People remain accountable

They confirm identity, answer consequential gates, resolve policy ambiguity, authorize exceptions, issue dispositions, and own the outcome.

Open foundations and professional operating infrastructure

The long-term company model keeps portable instrument specifications, event schemas, control mappings, causal measurement protocols, and reference validation tools open. The commercial foundry provides private organizational integration, identity, collaboration, governed construction, secure deployment, impact evaluation, monitoring, and support.

Candidate workflows

Causalytics is considering design partnerships for regulated case workflows that currently span policy documents, reports, spreadsheets, and manual records.

Discuss a workflow

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